🗳️ An AI Simulation Sparks Early Debate About 2028
The 2028 U.S. presidential election is still years away, but a new online simulation is already drawing attention. A popular YouTube channel asked Grok — an AI tool developed by Elon Musk’s company xAI — to model a hypothetical race and predict how it might unfold.
The experiment, shared on YouTube, focused on a potential matchup between Kamala Harris and JD Vance.
Although purely speculative, the simulation quickly sparked discussion about how artificial intelligence is beginning to shape political conversations long before campaigns officially begin.
📊 How the AI Built Its Projection
According to the creators, Grok based its forecast on a combination of early primary polling, betting market data, and historical voting patterns. Using this information, the AI estimated how both parties’ nomination processes might play out if current trends were to continue.
On the Democratic side, the model showed Harris leading with 32 percent support, ahead of Gavin Newsom and other potential contenders.
Among Republicans, Vance was projected to dominate with nearly 50 percent support, placing him well ahead of Donald Trump Jr. and other possible candidates.Based on these numbers, the AI suggested that both Harris and Vance would likely secure their party nominations — if present patterns remained unchanged.
🗺️ The Electoral College Map
After projecting the primary outcomes, Grok generated a full Electoral College map. States were categorized as “solid,” “likely,” or “lean” for each candidate, using a framework similar to that employed by professional political analysts.
In the simulation:Vance was projected to win traditionally Republican states and key battlegrounds such as Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin.
Harris was forecast to maintain strong support in Democratic strongholds like California, New York, and Massachusetts.